Will Pakistan be eliminated today? Sri Lanka or New Zealand, whose victory would benefit Pakistan more? Learn the full equation.
- bySherya
- 25 Feb, 2026
Pakistan Semifinal Qualification Scenario: The result of the Super-8 match between Sri Lanka and New Zealand will directly impact Pakistan's chances of reaching the semi-finals. Find out how here.

Pakistan's chances of reaching the semi-finals
Sri Lanka vs New Zealand: The Super 8 match between Sri Lanka and New Zealand is being played in Colombo. Sri Lanka won the toss and elected to bowl first, and this decision proved to be a wise one in the first innings. New Zealand lost both of their opening batsmen within the first 26 balls. This match is as important for Pakistan as it is for Sri Lanka and New Zealand. Find out here whose victory will benefit Pakistan the most today.
How will Pakistan benefit?
First, let's take a look at the points table. England has already qualified for the semifinals from the second Super 8 group. Pakistan, New Zealand, and Sri Lanka are competing for the second semifinal slot. Pakistan and New Zealand have one point each, while Sri Lanka is yet to open their account.
In fact, whether Sri Lanka or New Zealand wins today, Pakistan will not be out, but its entry into the semi-finals will depend on the results of other matches in both situations.
First equation: If Sri Lanka wins against New Zealand today, they will have two points, while New Zealand will only have one. Therefore, Pakistan will not want New Zealand to have a big win over England on February 27th. Meanwhile, if England defeats New Zealand, it will be very good for the Pakistani team.
Second equation: If New Zealand defeats Sri Lanka today, Pakistan's problems will likely increase significantly. New Zealand will have three points and a much better net run rate than Pakistan. In this situation, Pakistan will want England to win over New Zealand at all costs.
Let us also tell you that Pakistan now has only one match left, which it has to play with Sri Lanka on 28th February.






